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Tuesday, October 31, 2006

New polls today

One week to Midterm, and it looks like Democrats need a little more to regain Senate. Menendez is leading in all three polls released today, 51 - 44 in CNN, 49 - 43 in Zogby Interactive (which I don't have deep faith), and 49 - 44 in Quinnipiac. Now I project Menendez to carry NJ by 7-8 points. It also looks good in Virginia, where Webb is leading in all three most recent polls, 51 - 47 in Zogby Interactive, 50 - 46 in CNN, and 51 - 46 in Rassmussen. I told you Bush went to Virginia. Missouri is very hard to tell. In CNN poll, McCaskill leads 51 - 49 in registered voters, trals 47 - 49 in likely voters, seems turn-out is the key. The I-don't-quite-believe Zogby Interactive says McCaskill trails 47 - 49, and research 2000 (Oct 29) said ties at 47. Survey USA has McCaskill leads 49-46. Tennessee doesn't look bad, just not that encouraging. Ford trails in both CNN and Zogby Interactive, 44 - 52 and 48 - 49 each. Does that mean the racial ads by Republicans are working?

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